Oscar Predictions 2023
The predictions are a result of other award institutions that have also presented awards thus far plus other recent Oscar trends.
For the predicted winners, the levels of strength are noted as follows:
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(1) unstoppable; pretty well a shoo-in;
(2) front-runner;
(3) ahead in the race but just barely.
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For the possible upsets, the levels of strength are as follows:
(4) very strong possible upset;
(5) possible upset;
(6) long-shot / dark-horse.
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And the predictions:
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Best Picture: (1) Everything Everywhere All at Once; (6) All Quiet on the Western Front; The Banshees of Inisherin; The Fabelmans; Tar
Best Director: (1) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (6) Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans); Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Best Actress: (3) Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (4) Cate Blanchett (Tar)
Best Actor: (3) Brendan Fraser (The Whale); (4) Austin Butler (Elvis); (6) Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Best Supporting Actress: (3) Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (4) Angela Bassett (Wakanda Forever); (5) Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin); (6) Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Best Supporting Actor: (1) Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (6) Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin); Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Best Original Screenplay: (3) D. Kwan / D. Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (4) Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin); (6) Todd Field (Tar)
Best Adapted Screenplay: (3) Sarah Polley (Women Talking); (4) Berger / Paterson / Stokell (All Quiet on the Western Front)
Best International Film: (1) All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany); (6) all other nominees
Best Documentary Feature: (2) Navalny; (5) All the Beauty and the Bloodshed; Fire of Love
Best Animated Film: (1) Pinocchio; (6) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
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I continue to maintain my tradition (of about a decade and a half) of not watching the show but later seeing some of the moments of it on Youtube. To those of you who plan to watch the entire show live, enjoy the torture. I will pray for you.