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Oscar Predictions 2023

March 12, 2023

The predictions are a result of other award institutions that have also presented awards thus far plus other recent Oscar trends.

For the predicted winners, the levels of strength are noted as follows:

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(1)  unstoppable; pretty well a shoo-in;

(2)  front-runner;

(3)  ahead in the race but just barely.

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For the possible upsets, the levels of strength are as follows:

(4)  very strong possible upset;

(5)  possible upset;

(6)  long-shot / dark-horse.

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And the predictions:

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Best Picture: (1) Everything Everywhere All at Once; (6) All Quiet on the Western Front; The Banshees of Inisherin; The Fabelmans; Tar

Best Director: (1) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (6) Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans); Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Actress: (3) Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (4) Cate Blanchett (Tar)

Best Actor: (3) Brendan Fraser (The Whale); (4) Austin Butler (Elvis); (6) Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Supporting Actress: (3) Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (4) Angela Bassett (Wakanda Forever); (5) Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin); (6) Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Best Supporting Actor: (1) Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (6) Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin); Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Original Screenplay: (3) D. Kwan / D. Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once); (4) Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin); (6) Todd Field (Tar)

Best Adapted Screenplay: (3) Sarah Polley (Women Talking); (4) Berger / Paterson / Stokell (All Quiet on the Western Front)

Best International Film: (1) All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany); (6) all other nominees

Best Documentary Feature: (2) Navalny; (5) All the Beauty and the Bloodshed; Fire of Love

Best Animated Film: (1) Pinocchio; (6) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

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I continue to maintain my tradition (of about a decade and a half) of not watching the show but later seeing some of the moments of it on Youtube. To those of you who plan to watch the entire show live, enjoy the torture. I will pray for you.

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