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Oscar Predictions 2017

February 22, 2017

Like all other past Oscar posts, here is a repeat of some notes before the predictions:

This is a summary of the result of other award institutions that have also presented awards thus far plus other recent Oscar trends.


For the predicted winners, the levels of strength are noted as follows:

(1)  unstoppable; pretty well a shoo-in

(2)  front-runner

(3)  ahead in the race but just barely


For the possible upsets, the levels of strength are as follows:

(4)  very strong possible upset

(5)  possible upset

(6)  long-shot / dark-horse


And the predictions:

Best Picture:  (2) La La Land; (5) Moonlight;  (6) Manchester by the Sea; Hidden Figures

Best Director:  (3) Damien Chazelle (La La Land); (4) Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

Best Actress:  (2) Emma Stone (La La Land); (5) Isabelle Huppert (Elle); Natalie Portman (Jackie)

Best Actor:  (3) Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea); (4) Denzel Washington (Fences);  (6) Ryan Gosling (La La Land)

Best Supporting Actress:  (1) Viola Davis (Fences);  (6) Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea); Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

Best Supporting Actor:  (1) Mahereshala Ali (Moonlight):  (6) Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea); Dev Patel (Lion)

Best Original Screenplay:  (3) Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea);  (4) Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

Best Adapted Screenplay:  (3) B. Jenkins / A. McCraney (Moonlight);  (4) Eric Heisserer (Arrival);  (6) Luke Davies (Lion)

Best Foreign Language Film:  (3) Toni Erdmann (Germany);  (4) The Salesman (Iran);  (6) all other nominees

Best Documentary:  (1) OJ: Made in America;  (6) 13th;  I Am Not Your Negro

Best Animated Feature:  (1) Zootopia;  (6) Finding Dory;  The Red Turtle



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